Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 111.850399 123.686721 135.838085 149.218477 163.511587 178.296010 194.717786
2025-04-06 92.680955 110.290185 129.279124 151.159316 175.555440 201.804481 232.064217
2025-04-13 77.868077 99.344032 123.585711 152.678268 186.343844 223.786260 268.280389
2025-04-20 68.291770 92.860369 121.754858 157.679488 200.575411 249.601144 309.299307
2025-04-27 59.976927 86.670193 119.294912 161.184494 212.614312 272.799490 347.624810
2025-05-04 53.813535 82.276668 118.306230 165.908353 225.779634 297.266822 387.702345
2025-05-11 48.058812 77.652914 116.401886 168.990768 236.621224 318.857156 424.518003
2025-05-18 39.795986 68.627826 107.885029 162.802994 235.184958 324.956735 442.233578
2025-05-25 33.945665 62.282534 102.302507 159.853116 237.383626 335.222162 464.887591
2025-06-01 29.782475 57.914072 99.004922 159.579218 242.774744 349.356386 492.364336
2025-06-08 26.760598 54.933743 97.375160 161.347094 250.718321 366.723371 524.040383
2025-06-15 25.359934 54.383340 99.191838 167.913918 265.188011 392.718558 567.060811
2025-06-22 23.260173 52.506106 98.959305 171.624135 276.004116 414.379095 605.231233
2025-06-29 20.661617 49.463538 96.699942 172.219093 282.451980 430.345134 636.267053
2025-07-06 18.406226 46.747360 94.722242 173.058473 289.164866 446.706615 668.016393
2025-07-13 17.189936 45.820112 95.533857 178.074493 301.879620 471.338908 711.014482
2025-07-20 15.830704 44.436940 95.460193 181.652559 312.524358 493.251067 750.624828
2025-07-27 14.843217 43.668849 96.333006 186.662266 325.282791 518.182019 794.516976
2025-08-03 13.671718 42.359446 96.156272 189.942529 335.497573 539.682166 833.992125
2025-08-10 11.200740 37.830677 89.939791 183.177886 330.471913 539.705105 844.185325
2025-08-17 9.509605 34.752188 86.054958 179.949500 330.548337 546.758979 863.923856
2025-08-24 8.358270 32.760038 84.014233 179.641135 334.983177 559.979550 892.222488
2025-08-31 7.564288 31.533577 83.330763 181.558702 342.836731 578.150044 927.532578